Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.76	2.08
	1.61	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.71	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.71)	2.12 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
56%

Gonzalo Bueno
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reis Da Silva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 234. Bueno is ranked ATP: 282.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bueno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reis Da Silva won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Bueno - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Olle Wallin	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alan Wazny	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Kimmer Coppejans	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Titouan Droguet - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Meligeni Alves F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLL?
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Gstaad
13.07.25	Francesco Passaro - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Rudolf Molleker	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Benito Sanchez Martinez	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0
11.06.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2
13.01.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0
21.11.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2

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