Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday ⏱️ In 9h 16m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Guayaquil 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gonzalo Bueno		Carlos Maria Zarate

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.38	2.65
	1.38	2.81	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)	2.77 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
66.7%

Carlos Maria Zarate
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Carlos Maria Zarate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gonzalo Bueno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Maria Zarate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Gonzalo Bueno - Carlos Maria Zarate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 197., and Zarate is ranked ATP: 340..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Zarate may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bueno holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Bueno - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.52%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
19.10.26	Hernan Casanova - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Maximo Zeitune	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Franco Roncadelli	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWL?
- Carlos Maria Zarate
ATP Challenger
28.10.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
23.10.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:1 ✺
22.10.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Francisco Comesana	Comesana F. Retired ✺
20.10.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WL?WL

Gonzalo Bueno - Carlos Maria Zarate