Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Joao Sousa		Evgeny Karlovskiy

	1	2
			Watch
	1.19	4.33
	1.14	4.9
	1.15	5.81
	1.13	6.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.3)	5.27 ↑ (3.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Sousa
82.1%

Evgeny Karlovskiy
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Sousa's performance.

Evgeny Karlovskiy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Evgeny Karlovskiy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Sousa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evgeny Karlovskiy than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evgeny Karlovskiy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Sousa in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Karlovskiy is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sousa is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Sousa
ATP Pune
06.02.22	Joao Sousa - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Elias Ymer - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
04.02.22	Joao Sousa - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
02.02.22	Gianluca Mager - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
01.02.22	Arjun Kadhe - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWWWW
- Evgeny Karlovskiy
ITF Tournaments
11.02.22	Yan Bondarevskiy - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
10.02.22	Beibit Zhukayev - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
09.02.22	Marc Othman Ktiri - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2
04.02.22	Hady Habib - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
03.02.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Evgeny Karlovskiy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

Joao Sousa - Evgeny Karlovskiy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide