Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: RIO DE JANEIRO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2023, Monday


	Joao Sousa		Hugo Dellien

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.9	1.41
	2.97	1.44
	2.9	1.4
	2.83	1.43	Watch
	2.95	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.2)	1.42 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Sousa
32.7%

Hugo Dellien
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Sousa's form might have worsened.

Hugo Dellien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Dellien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Sousa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Dellien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Joao Sousa - Hugo Dellien Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Dellien will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dellien: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Dellien could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dellien is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Sousa
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Cordoba
10.02.23	Joao Sousa - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
09.02.23	Christian Garin - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
08.02.23	Joao Sousa - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
05.02.23	Joao Sousa - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWWL
- Hugo Dellien
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
ATP Cordoba
11.02.23	Hugo Dellien - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
10.02.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
09.02.23	Guido Pella - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
08.02.23	Hugo Dellien - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWW

Joao Sousa - Hugo Dellien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide