Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lima 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday


	Joaquin Guilleme		Valentin Garay

	1	2
	1.52	2.36
	1.6	2.35
	1.15	4.54	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)	2.66 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Joaquin Guilleme
64%

Valentin Garay
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joaquin Guilleme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Valentin Garay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joaquin Guilleme than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joaquin Guilleme, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Garay than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valentin Garay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Joaquin Guilleme - Valentin Garay Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guilleme will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Garay will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valentin Garay will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Guilleme is ranked ATP: 1365. Garay is ranked ATP: 1470.

In recent matches, Guilleme has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Garay has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Garay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guilleme might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaquin Guilleme
ITF Tournaments
13.12.25	Joaquin Guilleme - Pierre Delage	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Joaquin Guilleme	1:2 ✺
11.12.25	Joaquin Guilleme - Romeo Arcuschin	2:1 ✺
10.12.25	Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira - Joaquin Guilleme	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Joaquin Guilleme - Rodrigo Alujas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWWL
- Valentin Garay
ITF Tournaments
09.12.25	Pierre Delage - Valentin Garay	2:0 ✺
04.12.25	Valentin Garay - Strong Kirchheimer	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi - Valentin Garay	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Lautaro Agustin Falabella - Valentin Garay	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Valentin Garay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Joaquin Guilleme - Valentin Garay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide