Match Info

Date: 14 December 2021, Tuesday


	Johan Nikles		Luca Castelnuovo

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.2	4
	1.21	4.35	Watch
	1.22	3.75
	1.26	3.98
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.22	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.36)	4.04 ↑ (2.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johan Nikles
76.8%

Luca Castelnuovo
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johan Nikles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Johan Nikles's performance.

Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castelnuovo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johan Nikles than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Johan Nikles that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castelnuovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Johan Nikles - Luca Castelnuovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Castelnuovo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Castelnuovo is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johan Nikles
ATP Challenger
09.12.21	Juan Ignacio Londero - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
06.12.21	Guilherme Clezar - Johan Nikles	1:2 ✺
01.12.21	Johan Nikles - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
30.11.21	Johan Nikles - Kaichi Uchida	2:1 ✺
22.11.21	Johan Nikles - Juan Ignacio Londero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL
- Luca Castelnuovo
ATP Challenger
13.12.21	Roy Smith - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
12.12.21	Fernando Romboli - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
05.12.21	Luca Castelnuovo - Federico Zeballos	0:2 ✺
28.11.21	Luca Castelnuovo - Igor Marcondes	Castelnuovo L. retired ✺
22.11.21	Luca Castelnuovo - Tomas Lipovsek Puches	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWL?L

Johan Nikles - Luca Castelnuovo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide