Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 9, hard - Final

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Johan Nikles		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
	2.34	1.57
	2.32	1.51	Watch
	2.26	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johan Nikles
40.2%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johan Nikles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Johan Nikles's form might have worsened.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mario Gonzalez Fernandez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johan Nikles than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Johan Nikles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Johan Nikles - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nikles is ranked ATP: 642. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 626.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Gonzalez Fernandez could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Gonzalez Fernandez will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johan Nikles
ITF Tournaments
11.10.25	Petr Nesterov - Johan Nikles	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Johan Nikles - Fons Van Sambeek	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Johan Nikles - Jeffrey Fradkin	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Johan Nikles - Rocco Piatti	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Johan Nikles - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
11.10.25	Felix Balshaw - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Georgii Kravchenko - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Conor Gannon - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Joao Graca - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Raul Brancaccio - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

Johan Nikles - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide