Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Castelldefels, clay - Final

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Johan Nikles		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.99	1.4
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.36
	2.77	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.56)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johan Nikles
33.1%

Max Alcala Gurri
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johan Nikles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johan Nikles than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Johan Nikles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Max Alcala Gurri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Johan Nikles - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nikles is ranked ATP: 461. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 360.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Alcala Gurri will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Alcala Gurri will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.16%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johan Nikles
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Daniel Rincon - Johan Nikles	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Johan Nikles	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Alberto Barroso Campos - Johan Nikles	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Noah Lopez - Johan Nikles	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Johan Nikles - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWL
- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Lucca Helguera Casado - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	David Naharro - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Ziga Sesko - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

Johan Nikles - Max Alcala Gurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide