Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Johan Nikles		Miguel Damas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70	Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	1.9	1.85
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.07)	1.7 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johan Nikles
45.4%

Miguel Damas
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johan Nikles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johan Nikles than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Johan Nikles that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Johan Nikles - Miguel Damas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nikles is ranked ATP: 399., and Damas is ranked ATP: 349..

Nikles is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Damas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nikles may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nikles has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Damas - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.75%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johan Nikles
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Johan Nikles - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Johan Nikles - Martim Bernardo	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Johan Nikles - Laslo Djere	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Johan Nikles - Matyas Cerny	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Johan Nikles - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
02.10.26	Alexander Ritschard - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Xavi Palomar - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Leonid Sheyngezikht - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Miguel Damas - Mika Brunold	Damas M. Retired ✺
04.09.26	Miguel Damas - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.04.21	Johan Nikles - Miguel Damas	2:0

Johan Nikles - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide