Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 San Rafael, CA, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Rafael 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Johanne Christine Svendsen		Lucciana Perez Alarcon

	1	2
	1.36	2.8
	1.37	2.85
	1.45	2.69
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.35	2.99	Watch
	1.32	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.99)	2.83 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johanne Christine Svendsen
67.3%

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johanne Christine Svendsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Johanne Christine Svendsen's performance.

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucciana Perez Alarcon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johanne Christine Svendsen than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Johanne Christine Svendsen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucciana Perez Alarcon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Johanne Christine Svendsen - Lucciana Perez Alarcon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svendsen is ranked WTA: 622. Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 449.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Perez Alarcon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johanne Christine Svendsen
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Johanne Christine Svendsen - Carolina Kuhl	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Evialina Laskevich - Johanne Christine Svendsen	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Usue Maitane Arconada - Johanne Christine Svendsen	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Merna Refaat - Johanne Christine Svendsen	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer - Johanne Christine Svendsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW
- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Madison Sieg	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Christasha McNeil - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Maya Iyengar - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Aspen Schuman	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Maria Fernanda Navarro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Johanne Christine Svendsen - Lucciana Perez Alarcon

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Johanne Christine Svendsen - Lucciana Perez Alarcon Predictions

Preview

Form

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