Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 San Rafael, CA, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Lucciana Perez Alarcon		Madison Sieg

	1	2
	1.98	1.7
	2.03	1.7
	2.16	1.67
	1.71	2.00	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.69)	1.73 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
46.3%

Madison Sieg
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucciana Perez Alarcon's form might have worsened.

Madison Sieg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madison Sieg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucciana Perez Alarcon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Sieg than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madison Sieg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Madison Sieg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 449. Sieg is ranked WTA: 408.

Perez Alarcon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sieg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Perez Alarcon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Sieg will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Christasha McNeil - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Maya Iyengar - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Aspen Schuman	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Maria Fernanda Navarro	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Gina Feistel - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL
- Madison Sieg
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Madison Sieg - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Merna Refaat - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Katarina Jokic - Madison Sieg	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Carolina Kuhl - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Sophia Biolay - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

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