Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sunderland (United Kingdom), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Johannus Monday		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	1.35	3.08
	1.39	2.93
	1.36	3
	1.37	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.54)	2.98 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johannus Monday
68.5%

Dennis Novak
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johannus Monday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Johannus Monday's performance.

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dennis Novak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johannus Monday than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Johannus Monday that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dennis Novak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Johannus Monday - Dennis Novak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monday is ranked ATP: 364. Novak is ranked ATP: 351.

Monday is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Novak is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Monday will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johannus Monday
ITF Tournaments
24.01.25	Alessandro Pecci - Johannus Monday	0:2 ✺
23.01.25	Phoenix Weir - Johannus Monday	0:2 ✺
21.01.25	Alexander Maggs - Johannus Monday	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.25	Johannus Monday - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Johannus Monday - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- Dennis Novak
ITF Tournaments
24.01.25	Alastair Gray - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
23.01.25	Stuart Parker - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Gleb Sakharov - Dennis Novak	Sakharov G. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
09.01.25	Viktor Durasovic - Dennis Novak	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Raul Brancaccio - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WW?LW

Johannus Monday - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide