Match Info

Date: 2 May 2022, Monday


	John Millman		Egor Gerasimov

	1	2
	2.1	1.66
	1.95	1.75
	1.9	1.86
	1.87	1.77
	1.96	1.85
	2	1.73
	1.95	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.25)	1.78 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

John Millman
47.5%

Egor Gerasimov
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Millman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in John Millman's performance.

Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Egor Gerasimov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Millman than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with John Millman that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Egor Gerasimov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

John Millman - Egor Gerasimov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Millman is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gerasimov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Millman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Millman won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Millman
ATP Munich
27.04.22	Egor Gerasimov - John Millman	2:1 ✺
25.04.22	Marton Fucsovics - John Millman	Canceled ✺
ATP Belgrade
20.04.22	John Millman - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
19.04.22	Dominic Thiem - John Millman	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.22	Taro Daniel - John Millman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 L?LWL
- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Munich
28.04.22	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
27.04.22	Egor Gerasimov - John Millman	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Egor Gerasimov - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.22	Cameron Norrie - Egor Gerasimov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Munich
27.04.22	Egor Gerasimov - John Millman	2:1

John Millman - Egor Gerasimov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide