The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
John-Patrick Smith 59.4%
Daniel Elahi Galan 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
John-Patrick Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.2%
0%
58.8%
John Patrick Smith - Daniel Elahi Galan Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Galan will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Galan: 35.4% – 82.2%.