Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Amstelveen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amstelveen 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	John Sperle		Carl Emil Overbeck

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John Sperle
45%

Carl Emil Overbeck
55%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Sperle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Sperle is ranked ATP: 651. Overbeck is ranked ATP: 1075.

Sperle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Overbeck is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sperle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Overbeck will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

The players have not played against each other recently.

John Sperle - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Sperle
ATP Challenger
24.06.25	John Sperle - Blaise Bicknell	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Jose Antonio Velasco - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW
- Carl Emil Overbeck
ITF Tournaments
29.06.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Dax Donders	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Manvydas Balciunas	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Brian Bozemoj - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW

John Sperle - Carl Emil Overbeck