Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday


	Juan Manuel La Serna		John Sperle

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.78	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.86	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel La Serna
51.1%

John Sperle
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

John Sperle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Preview

La Serna is ranked ATP: 504. Sperle is ranked ATP: 683.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

La Serna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel La Serna - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

John Sperle - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
22.06.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Luis Jose Nakamine	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Alex Barrena - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
19.06.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Bautista Vilicich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWL
- John Sperle
ATP Challenger
22.06.25	Jose Antonio Velasco - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Arklon Huertas Del Pino - John Sperle	1:2 ✺
12.06.25	John Sperle - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWL

Juan Manuel La Serna - John Sperle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide