Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bari - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	John Sperle		Giuseppe La Vela

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.75	1.96	Watch
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.73	2.03
	1.77	1.92	Watch
	1.75	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	1.94 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

John Sperle
52.5%

Giuseppe La Vela
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Sperle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Giuseppe La Vela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with John Sperle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giuseppe La Vela than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giuseppe La Vela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

John Sperle - Giuseppe La Vela Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. La Vela (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Sperle is ranked ATP: 692., and La Vela is ranked ATP: 553..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

La Vela may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sperle has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

John Sperle - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Giuseppe La Vela - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Sperle
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Jay Clarke - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - John Sperle	Barranco Cosano J. Retired ✺
20.09.26	Sergi Fita Juan - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.26	John Sperle - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Karol Filar - John Sperle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 L?WWW
- Giuseppe La Vela
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Jay Clarke - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Federico Iannaccone	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	John Sperle - Giuseppe La Vela	Sperle J. retired

John Sperle - Giuseppe La Vela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide