Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Budapest, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Budapest 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Karol Filar		John Sperle

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Karol Filar
42.2%

John Sperle
57.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karol Filar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

John Sperle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karol Filar than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Filar is ranked ATP: 580. Sperle is ranked ATP: 831.

Recent performances by Filar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sperle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Filar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Sperle will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

John Sperle - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karol Filar
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Matyas Cerny - Karol Filar	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Jan Sadzik - Karol Filar	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Wojciech Marek - Karol Filar	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Uladzislau Tarasevich - Karol Filar	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Matthias Ujvary - Karol Filar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- John Sperle
ITF Tournaments
30.08.26	John Sperle - Ignacio Monzon	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	John Sperle - Stepan Baum	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Lorenzo Bocchi - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Kolos Kincses - John Sperle	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Tomas Lanik - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Karol Filar - John Sperle