Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Mataro, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday


	John Sperle		Lucas Bouquet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.63	2.19
	1.69	2.1	Watch
	1.63	2.16	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)	2.08 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

John Sperle
55.3%

Lucas Bouquet
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Sperle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in John Sperle's performance.

Lucas Bouquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Bouquet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Bouquet than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

John Sperle - Lucas Bouquet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sperle is ranked ATP: 703. Bouquet is ranked ATP: 530.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bouquet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sperle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

John Sperle - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Sperle
ITF Tournaments
21.05.25	Svyatoslav Gulin - John Sperle	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	John Sperle - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Arthur Reymond - John Sperle	Reymond A. retired ✺
30.04.25	Jurriaan Bol - John Sperle	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Ryan Nijboer - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WL?WL
- Lucas Bouquet
ITF Tournaments
21.05.25	Lucas Gerch - Lucas Bouquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Lucas Bouquet	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Lucas Bouquet - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Lucas Bouquet - Jeremy Schifris	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Lucas Bouquet - Leonardo Malgaroli	Malgaroli L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.01.25	John Sperle - Lucas Bouquet	0:2

John Sperle - Lucas Bouquet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide