Match Info

Date: 11 May 2022, Wednesday


	Jonas Forejtek		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.1	1.7
	2.13	1.61
	2.22	1.68
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.22	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.37)	1.65 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonas Forejtek
43.3%

Facundo Bagnis
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonas Forejtek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jonas Forejtek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Bagnis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Jonas Forejtek - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Forejtek will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Bagnis will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bagnis: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Forejtek is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bagnis is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bagnis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
10.05.22	Bjorn Fratangelo - Jonas Forejtek	1:2 ✺
09.05.22	Jonas Forejtek - Matthias Bachinger	2:0 ✺
08.05.22	Jonas Forejtek - Christopher Heyman	2:0 ✺
04.05.22	Federico Gaio - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
03.05.22	Jonas Forejtek - Lucas Gerch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
10.05.22	Mitchell Krueger - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
28.04.22	Facundo Bagnis - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
26.04.22	Facundo Bagnis - Conner Huertas Del Pino	2:1 ✺
05.04.22	Facundo Bagnis - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
03.04.22	Facundo Bagnis - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

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