Match Info

Date: 25 March 2021, Thursday


	Jonas Forejtek		Giulio Zeppieri

	1	2
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.36
	1.55	2.49
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	2.46 ↓ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonas Forejtek
61.9%

Giulio Zeppieri
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonas Forejtek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Jonas Forejtek - Giulio Zeppieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Forejtek will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Zeppieri will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zeppieri: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Forejtek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Zeppieri will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
24.03.21	Pedro Cachin - Jonas Forejtek	1:2 ✺
17.03.21	Daniel Masur - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
16.03.21	Jonas Forejtek - Dustin Brown	2:1 ✺
15.03.21	Nicola Kuhn - Jonas Forejtek	1:2 ✺
14.03.21	Jonas Forejtek - Adrian Menendez-Maceiras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWW
- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Challenger
24.03.21	Giulio Zeppieri - Oscar Otte	2:0 ✺
09.03.21	Peter Gojowczyk - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
05.03.21	Eduard Esteve Lobato - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
04.03.21	Giulio Zeppieri - Filip Horansky	2:0 ✺
02.03.21	Giulio Zeppieri - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLWW

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