Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday


	Jordan Thompson		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.8	1.25
	4.1	1.24	Watch
	3.9	1.23
	4.4	1.25
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.25	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (2.97)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
23.4%

Alex De Minaur
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jordan Thompson's form might have worsened.

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jordan Thompson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.1%	0%	93.9%

Jordan Thompson - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (31 of 33 users predict this - 93.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Jordan Thompson is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

De Minaur is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

De Minaur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match De Minaur is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jordan Thompson won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Miami
24.03.22	Jo-Wilfried Tsonga - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.22	Jordan Thompson - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
11.03.22	Jordan Thompson - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
15.02.22	Jordan Thompson - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
11.02.22	Jenson Brooksby - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
15.03.22	Alex De Minaur - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Alex De Minaur - John Millman	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.03.22	Alex De Minaur - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
04.03.22	Alex De Minaur - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
10.06.21	Alex De Minaur - Jordan Thompson	2:1
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.19	Alex De Minaur - Jordan Thompson	1:2
ATP Sydney
10.01.19	Alex De Minaur - Jordan Thompson	2:0
ATP Brisbane
02.01.19	Jordan Thompson - Alex De Minaur	0:2

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