Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Finals - Turin, hard

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.35	3.1	Watch
	1.39	3.27
	1.55	2.44	Watch
			Watch
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.55	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.55)	2.94 ↑ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
67.4%

Alex De Minaur
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taylor Harry Fritz's performance.

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex De Minaur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Fritz (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 24.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - De Minaur (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Taylor Harry Fritz will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Fritz (votes: 6 - 85.7%). De Minaur (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 6. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 7.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 3.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Fritz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP World Tour Finals
11.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Taylor Harry Fritz	N/A ✺
10.11.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 L?WLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP World Tour Finals
11.11.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	N/A
09.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
31.10.25	Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
21.11.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP World Tour Finals
14.11.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	2:1
ATP United Cup
01.01.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	0:2
ATP Toronto
10.08.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	1:2
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	2:1
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	2:1
ATP US Open
31.08.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	3:1

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