Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Jordan Thompson		Mats Rosenkranz

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.36	3.32
	1.31	3.12	Watch
			Watch
	1.32	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.06)	3.21 ↓ (8.07)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
70.8%

Mats Rosenkranz
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.4%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jordan Thompson's form might have worsened.

Mats Rosenkranz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mats Rosenkranz's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Jordan Thompson - Mats Rosenkranz Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Rosenkranz will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenkranz: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6 Games - Rosenkranz (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Rosenkranz (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mats Rosenkranz will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenkranz (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 79. Rosenkranz is ranked ATP: 300.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rosenkranz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jordan Thompson is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jordan Thompson won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Jordan Thompson - Erik Arutiunian	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Jordan Thompson - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Jordan Thompson	Thompson J. retired ✺
08.10.25	Dan Added - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WW?WL
- Mats Rosenkranz
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Justin Boulais - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Garrett Johns	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Micah Braswell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.11.21	Jordan Thompson - Mats Rosenkranz	2:1

Jordan Thompson - Mats Rosenkranz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide