Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Champaign, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Mats Rosenkranz		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	2	1.86
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)	1.79 ↓ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mats Rosenkranz
47.8%

Murphy Cassone
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mats Rosenkranz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mats Rosenkranz than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-4%)

Mats Rosenkranz - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenkranz (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cassone (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rosenkranz is ranked ATP: 259. Cassone is ranked ATP: 245.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Cassone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rosenkranz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mats Rosenkranz
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Adhithya Ganesan	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Pablo Martinez Gomez	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Inaki Montes De La Torre	Rosenkranz M. retired ✺
01.11.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Oliver Tarvet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WW?LW
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Aidan McHugh - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Hoyoung Roh - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Murphy Cassone - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Nicolas Mejia - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Matias Soto - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Murphy Cassone	2:0

Mats Rosenkranz - Murphy Cassone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide