Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Joshua Charlton		Akira Santillan

	1	2
			Watch
	3.75	1.21	Watch
	3.65	1.24	Watch
	4.18	1.22
	3.67	1.25	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.8	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.95)	1.24 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joshua Charlton
24.9%

Akira Santillan
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joshua Charlton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joshua Charlton's form might have worsened.

Akira Santillan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Akira Santillan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joshua Charlton than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Joshua Charlton - Akira Santillan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santillan will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santillan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charlton is ranked ATP: 928. Santillan is ranked ATP: 632.

Charlton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santillan is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Charlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santillan is considered a favorite.

We predict that Santillan will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joshua Charlton
ATP Challenger
24.08.25	Ajeet Rai - Joshua Charlton	Rai A. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Joshua Charlton - Jesse Delaney	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Joshua Charlton - Noah Brownrigg	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Joshua Charlton - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Joshua Charlton - James Van Herzeele	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?LWLW
- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
24.08.25	Yaojie Zeng - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.25	Akira Santillan - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Sanhui Shin - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Akira Santillan - Xiaoyin Yang	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Akira Santillan - Seung Woo Cho	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

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