Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Brisbane 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Joshua Charlton		Jake Delaney

	1	2
	2.65	1.40
	2.85	1.37
	2.70	1.48
	2.5	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.46
	2.56	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.07)	1.44 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joshua Charlton
35.1%

Jake Delaney
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joshua Charlton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joshua Charlton's performance.

Jake Delaney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jake Delaney might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joshua Charlton than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Joshua Charlton - Jake Delaney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charlton is ranked ATP: 762. Delaney is ranked ATP: 354.

Charlton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Delaney is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Charlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Delaney is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joshua Charlton
ITF Tournaments
20.07.26	Joshua Charlton - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Matt Hulme - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Joshua Charlton - Charlie Camus	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Amirkhamza Nasridinov - Joshua Charlton	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Max Purcell - Joshua Charlton	Purcell M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWL?
- Jake Delaney
ITF Tournaments
25.07.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Duje Markovina - Jake Delaney	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Taiki Takizawa - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Zachary Viiala - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Daisuke Sumizawa - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Jake Delaney - Joshua Charlton	2:0
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Joshua Charlton - Jake Delaney	0:2

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