Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday


	Joshua Charlton		Blake Ellis

	1	2
	2.65	1.40
	2.65	1.41
	2.88	1.43
	2.66	1.41	Watch
	2.85	1.41
	2.77	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.15)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joshua Charlton
33.9%

Blake Ellis
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joshua Charlton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joshua Charlton than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Joshua Charlton - Blake Ellis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charlton is ranked ATP: 764. Ellis is ranked ATP: 474.

Charlton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ellis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ellis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Blake Ellis - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 70.79%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joshua Charlton
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Matt Hulme - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Joshua Charlton - Charlie Camus	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Amirkhamza Nasridinov - Joshua Charlton	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Max Purcell - Joshua Charlton	Purcell M. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWL?L
- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Benjamin O`Connell - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Hayden Jones - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Blake Ellis - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Blake Ellis - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Blake Ellis - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.10.24	Joshua Charlton - Blake Ellis	0:2
16.07.24	Joshua Charlton - Blake Ellis	0:2

Joshua Charlton - Blake Ellis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide