Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Joshua Charlton		Pavle Marinkov

	1	2
	3.32	1.28	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.27	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.95)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joshua Charlton
28.4%

Pavle Marinkov
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joshua Charlton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Pavle Marinkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joshua Charlton than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joshua Charlton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavle Marinkov than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pavle Marinkov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joshua Charlton - Pavle Marinkov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charlton is ranked ATP: 847. Marinkov is ranked ATP: 593.

Charlton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Marinkov is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Marinkov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marinkov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Marinkov will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joshua Charlton
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.26	Cruz Hewitt - Joshua Charlton	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Adrian Arcon - Joshua Charlton	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	James McCabe - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Ashton McLeod - Joshua Charlton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW
- Pavle Marinkov
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Fanming Meng - Pavle Marinkov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.03.26	Pavle Marinkov - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Pavle Marinkov - Cruz Hewitt	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Pavle Marinkov - Harrison Satara	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Pavle Marinkov - Stefan Storch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	Pavle Marinkov - Joshua Charlton	2:0
18.02.25	Joshua Charlton - Pavle Marinkov	2:0

Joshua Charlton - Pavle Marinkov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide