Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cleveland, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cleveland 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Joshua Sheehy		Karl Poling

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.67	2.29
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.63	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.99)	2.16 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joshua Sheehy
56.7%

Karl Poling
43.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joshua Sheehy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joshua Sheehy's performance.

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karl Poling might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joshua Sheehy than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joshua Sheehy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karl Poling could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Joshua Sheehy - Karl Poling Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Joshua Sheehy will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joshua Sheehy will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sheehy is ranked ATP: 678. Poling is ranked ATP: 562.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sheehy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sheehy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joshua Sheehy
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Tristan McCormick - Joshua Sheehy	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Ronald Hohmann - Joshua Sheehy	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Bor Artnak - Joshua Sheehy	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Alan Magadan - Joshua Sheehy	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Aidan McHugh - Joshua Sheehy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWL
- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Karl Poling - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Karl Poling - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Karl Poling - Keenan Mayo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.01.26	Karl Poling - William Grant	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Luca Pow - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Karl Poling - Joshua Sheehy	2:1
ITF Tournaments
11.07.23	Karl Poling - Joshua Sheehy	2:1

Joshua Sheehy - Karl Poling