Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 2 (Spain), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 September 2024, Thursday


	Josip Simundza		Sergio Callejon Hernando

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.91	1.77
	1.92	1.78	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	1.93	1.79	Watch
	1.91	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.36)	1.76 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Josip Simundza
47.5%

Sergio Callejon Hernando
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Josip Simundza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Josip Simundza's performance.

Sergio Callejon Hernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sergio Callejon Hernando might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Josip Simundza than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Josip Simundza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sergio Callejon Hernando could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Josip Simundza - Sergio Callejon Hernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Simundza is ranked ATP: 953. Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 1116.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Callejon Hernando could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Callejon Hernando will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Josip Simundza
ITF Tournaments
11.09.24	Josip Simundza - Bryan Hernandez Cortes	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Josip Simundza - Dominik Kellovsky	1:2 ✺
30.08.24	Peter Fajta - Josip Simundza	Fajta P. retired ✺
29.08.24	Josip Simundza - Radovan Michalik	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	Josip Simundza - Tino Kovacic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WL?WW
- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ITF Tournaments
10.09.24	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
29.08.24	Daniel Paty - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
27.08.24	Vesa Ahti - Sergio Callejon Hernando	1:2 ✺
06.08.24	Alvaro Bueno Gil - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLL

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