Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marseille (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Jozef Kovalik		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.34
	3.25	1.29
	3.16	1.36
	3.06	1.36	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.26	1.31	Watch
	3.15	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.64)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
29.3%

Yosuke Watanuki
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jozef Kovalik's form might have worsened.

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yosuke Watanuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Jozef Kovalik - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovalik is ranked ATP: 127. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 340.

Kovalik is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Watanuki is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kovalik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Watanuki is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Watanuki to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Jozef Kovalik	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Dino Prizmic - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Learner Tien - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	August Holmgren - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?LLLW
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Blake Ellis - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.01.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Martin Landaluce	Landaluce M. walkover ✺
31.12.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
30.12.24	Hugo Gaston - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LW?WW

Jozef Kovalik - Yosuke Watanuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide