Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Juan Alejandro Hernandez		Garrett Johns

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.47
	2.7	1.47
	2.56	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.2)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
36.4%

Garrett Johns
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Alejandro Hernandez's form might have worsened.

Garrett Johns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Garrett Johns's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Garrett Johns Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hernandez is ranked ATP: 418. Johns is ranked ATP: 279.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Johns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Johns is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hernandez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Hernan Casanova - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Lawrence Bataljin	Canceled ✺
06.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Manuel Sanchez	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Tadeo Meneo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?LWW
- Garrett Johns
ITF Tournaments
22.11.25	Garrett Johns - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Garrett Johns - Micah Braswell	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Garrett Johns - Jonah Braswell	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Garrett Johns - Stefan Menichella	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Garrett Johns - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.03.25	Garrett Johns - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1

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