Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sao Paulo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sao Paulo 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Juan Alejandro Hernandez		Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.72
	2.04	1.75
	2.11	1.66	Watch
	1.58	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.58)	1.84 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
48.8%

Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
51.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Alejandro Hernandez's form might have worsened.

Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Alejandro Hernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Hernandez is ranked ATP: 431. de Almeida is ranked ATP: 786.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

de Almeida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Luis Guto Miguel	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
16.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Taro Daniel - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.06.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLL
- Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Natan Rodrigues - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Tadeo Meneo - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Federico Aguilar Cardozo - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	Aguilar Cardozo F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLW?

Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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