Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bengaluru 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bengaluru 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Juan Alejandro Hernandez		Naoya Honda

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Juan Alejandro Hernandez
50%

Naoya Honda
50%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Naoya Honda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoya Honda than the current prediction. (+2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Hernandez is ranked ATP: 475. Honda is ranked ATP: 961.

In recent matches, Hernandez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Honda is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Honda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Grigoriy Lomakin - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Yuta Kawahashi	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.04.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Rafael De Alba - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Patricio Betancourt - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW
- Naoya Honda
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Naoya Honda - Philip Sekulic	Canceled ✺
18.05.26	Amit Vales - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Volodymyr Iakubenko - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Naoya Honda - Ryotaro Taguchi	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Naoya Honda - Prakaash Sarran	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 ?WWLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	✺
- Naoya Honda
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Naoya Honda - Liam Broady	✺

Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Naoya Honda