Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Norman (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday


	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar		Alex Rybakov

	1	2
	3.1	1.3
	2.95	1.33
	3.14	1.33
	3.01	1.34
	2.75	1.4
	3.04	1.34
	2.95	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.58)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
30.9%

Alex Rybakov
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Alex Rybakov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Rybakov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Alex Rybakov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aguilar is ranked ATP: 812. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 598.

Recent matches Aguilar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rybakov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rybakov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rybakov is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rybakov to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
23.10.24	Samir Banerjee - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.10.24	Taha Baadi - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.10.24	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Taha Baadi	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Boris Kozlov - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.24	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWL
- Alex Rybakov
ITF Tournaments
23.10.24	Adam Jones - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Tyler Zink - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
11.10.24	Alex Rybakov - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Alex Rybakov - Dan Martin	Martin D. retired ✺
08.10.24	Alex Rybakov - Collin Altamirano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLW?W

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Alex Rybakov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide