Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kingston 2 (Jamaica), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday


	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar		Evan Zhu

	1	2
	1.3	3.2
	3.4	1.3
	1.32	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.37)	2.55 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
55.9%

Evan Zhu
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar's performance.

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Evan Zhu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evan Zhu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Aguilar is ranked ATP: 557. Zhu is ranked ATP: 671.

Aguilar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Zhu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aguilar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
16.01.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Benjamin Thomas George	George B. T. retired ✺
15.01.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Justin Roberts	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Daniel Milavsky	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Roberto Cid Subervi - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Miles Jones - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 ?WLWW
- Evan Zhu
ITF Tournaments
16.01.25	Dan Martin - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
09.01.25	Dan Martin - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Kody Pearson - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
13.12.24	Evan Zhu - Alafia Ayeni	0:2 ✺
12.12.24	Evan Zhu - Evan Bynoe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Evan Zhu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide