Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar		Tomas Martinez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.7	2.11
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.46	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.37)	2.18 ↓ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
57.4%

Tomas Martinez
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar's form might have worsened.

Tomas Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Martinez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martinez than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Martinez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Tomas Martinez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Martinez (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aguilar is ranked ATP: 499. Martinez is ranked ATP: 1029.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Martinez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aguilar is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Ignacio Carou	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Oskar Brostrom Poulsen	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Alex Finkelstein	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Ben Jones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWW
- Tomas Martinez
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Patricio Alvarado - Tomas Martinez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Tomas Martinez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Bautista Vilicich - Tomas Martinez	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Tomas Martinez - Mateo Carballo	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Valerio Aboian - Tomas Martinez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Tomas Martinez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide