Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday


	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo		Andrea Picchione

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.8
	1.32	2.95	Watch
	1.38	2.97
			Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	2.94 ↑ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
68.5%

Andrea Picchione
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Andrea Picchione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Andrea Picchione Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Prado Angelo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Picchione (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Prado Angelo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Picchione (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Preview

Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 268. Picchione is ranked ATP: 465.

Prado Angelo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Picchione has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Picchione may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Prado Angelo is considered a favorite.

We predict that Prado Angelo will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
28.06.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
27.06.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Nicolas Mejia - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
23.06.25	Christopher Li - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW
- Andrea Picchione
ATP Challenger
29.06.25	Andrea Picchione - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Matthew Donald - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Gabriele Bosio - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Andrea Picchione - Alessandro Pecci	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Andrea Picchione - Iannis Miletich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW

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