Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bologna, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bologna 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano		Leonardo Malgaroli

	1	2
	1.28	3.25
	1.23	3.55	Watch
	1.27	3.46	Watch
	1.27	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.43)	3.43 ↑ (2.66)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
73.1%

Leonardo Malgaroli
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Cruz Martin Manzano's performance.

Leonardo Malgaroli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leonardo Malgaroli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Cruz Martin Manzano than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Cruz Martin Manzano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonardo Malgaroli than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonardo Malgaroli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Leonardo Malgaroli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martin Manzano is ranked ATP: 764. Malgaroli is ranked ATP: 1244.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Martin Manzano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martin Manzano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Giulio Perego - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Lorenzo Comino - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Jacopo Bilardo - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Kirill Kivattsev - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW
- Leonardo Malgaroli
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Pietro Romeo Scomparin	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Enrico Baldisserri	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Kasra Rahmani	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Alessandro Mondazzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLW

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Leonardo Malgaroli

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Leonardo Malgaroli Predictions

Preview

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