Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Rovinj, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rovinj 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano		Tiago Cacao

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Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
55.3%

Tiago Cacao
44.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Cruz Martin Manzano's form might have worsened.

Tiago Cacao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tiago Cacao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Cruz Martin Manzano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Cacao than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Martin Manzano is ranked ATP: 606. Cacao is ranked ATP: 841.

Martin Manzano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cacao has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Martin Manzano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martin Manzano could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Nikola Basic	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Alexander Vasilev	Canceled ✺
04.03.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Benoit Torcq	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Andrey Chepelev - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Carles Cordoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 W?WLW
- Tiago Cacao
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Simone Massellani - Tiago Cacao	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Tiago Cacao - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Tiago Cacao	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Fausto Tabacco - Tiago Cacao	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Lukas Neumayer - Tiago Cacao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Tiago Cacao