Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.4	2.8
	1.43	2.86
	1.43	2.86
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.69	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)	2.69 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
65.2%

Francesco Passaro
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Manuel Cerundolo will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerundolo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Renzo Olivo	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
29.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Francesco Passaro - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Francesco Passaro - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
26.02.24	Francesco Passaro - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.24	Francesco Passaro - Illya Marchenko	Canceled ✺
16.01.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLL?L

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