Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 29 February 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Luciano Darderi		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.46	2.94
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.43	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.61)	2.8 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
66%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Darderi's performance.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Manuel Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luciano Darderi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Darderi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerundolo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Darderi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Darderi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Facundo Bagnis - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Luciano Darderi	Canceled ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
15.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 W?LLW
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2
ATP Challenger
13.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0
05.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0
25.05.22	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2

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