Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 CONSTANTA 2 (ROMANIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 September 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: CONSTANTA 2 (ROMANIA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Juan Pablo Paz		Gianmarco Ferrari

	1	2
	3.35	1.29
	3.3	1.3
	3.5	1.29
	2.99	1.34	Watch
	3.05	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.64)	1.31 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Paz
28.8%

Gianmarco Ferrari
71.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo Paz's form might have worsened.

Gianmarco Ferrari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gianmarco Ferrari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Paz than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo Paz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gianmarco Ferrari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Paz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ferrari is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ferrari will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Paz
ITF Tournaments
07.09.23	Juan Pablo Paz - Valentin Vanta	Vanta V. retired ✺
06.09.23	Juan Pablo Paz - Luca Preda	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Bogdan Pavel - Juan Pablo Paz	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Juan Pablo Paz - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Vlad Andrei Dancu - Juan Pablo Paz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ?WLWW
- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
07.09.23	Antonio Cayetano March - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
06.09.23	Stefan Adrian Andreescu - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
29.08.23	Kilian Feldbausch - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.08.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Louis Wessels - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.01.20	Gianmarco Ferrari - Juan Pablo Paz	0:2

Juan Pablo Paz - Gianmarco Ferrari

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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