Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES (ARGENTINA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 February 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.45	1.32
	3.66	1.32
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.64	1.29	Watch
	3.45	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.95)	1.31 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
26.9%

Lorenzo Musetti
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Musetti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Musetti is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Musetti to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Buenos Aires
16.02.23	Dominic Thiem - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Delbonis	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Cordoba
06.02.23	Dusan Lajovic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Buenos Aires
16.02.23	Pedro Cachin - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Lloyd Harris	2:3 ✺
ATP United Cup
07.01.23	Francis Tiafoe - Lorenzo Musetti	Musetti L. retired ✺
06.01.23	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2
06.01.23	Michail Pervolarakis - Lorenzo Musetti	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WL?W?

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lorenzo Musetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide