Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Mangione A. (Ita)


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Yoshihito Nishioka

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.8	1.92	Watch
	1.91	1.9
	1.85	1.98
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.74	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.99)	1.95 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
52%

Yoshihito Nishioka
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's performance.

Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yoshihito Nishioka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yoshihito Nishioka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Yoshihito Nishioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Nishioka will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player are in an unacceptable form.

Nishioka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Varillas Patino-Samudio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Bruno Kuzuhara - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.24	Michael Mmoh - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Enzo Couacaud	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Goncalo Oliveira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLW
- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Madrid
25.04.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.24	Jaume Munar - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
19.03.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Yoshihito Nishioka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide