Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bucaramanga, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday


	Juan Sebastian Gomez		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
	2.36	1.57
	2.40	1.49	Watch
	2.28	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.74)	1.54 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Sebastian Gomez
39.7%

Miguel Tobon
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Sebastian Gomez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Sebastian Gomez's performance.

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Tobon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Sebastian Gomez than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Sebastian Gomez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Tobon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Gomez is ranked ATP: 933. Tobon is ranked ATP: 752.

Gomez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tobon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tobon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tobon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Tobon will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gomez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Sebastian Gomez
ITF Tournaments
16.07.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Salvador Price	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Nicolas Buitrago	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Peter Bertran	1:2 ✺
07.07.25	Cristian Felipe Sanchez Rojas - Juan Sebastian Gomez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.06.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Miguel Tobon
ITF Tournaments
16.07.25	Martin Maldonado - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Juan Esteban Trujillo Hernandez - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Miguel Tobon - Peter Bertran	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Miguel Tobon - Pablo Robledo Hoyos	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Miguel Tobon - Lucas Martin Velasco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.04.24	Miguel Tobon - Juan Sebastian Gomez	0:2

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