Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Quito 4, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Juan Sebastian Osorio		Tristan McCormick

	1	2
	2.40	1.48
	2.38	1.50
	2.22	1.56	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.27	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 (2.32)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Sebastian Osorio
39.6%

Tristan McCormick
60.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Sebastian Osorio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Sebastian Osorio than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Juan Sebastian Osorio - Tristan McCormick Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Osorio is ranked ATP: 680., and McCormick is ranked ATP: 713..

Osorio has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

McCormick is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Osorio could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with McCormick holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for McCormick in today's match, at odds of 1.51.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Osorio has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Sebastian Osorio
ITF Tournaments
15.10.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Ryan Fishback	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Mateo Del Pino	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Victor Bini	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Tadeo Meneo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Samuel Heredia - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
15.10.26	Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Dakotah Bobo - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Tristan McCormick - Lucas Andrade Da Silva	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Tristan McCormick - Victor Bini	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Tristan McCormick	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.04.25	Tristan McCormick - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:1
05.08.24	Tristan McCormick - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:1

Juan Sebastian Osorio - Tristan McCormick: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide