Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cassis (France) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday

Referee: Bodin L. (Fra)


	Jules Marie		Adria Soriano Barrera

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.87
	1.81	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.81	1.93	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.54)	1.9 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jules Marie
51.3%

Adria Soriano Barrera
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jules Marie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jules Marie's form might have worsened.

Adria Soriano Barrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adria Soriano Barrera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jules Marie than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jules Marie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adria Soriano Barrera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Jules Marie - Adria Soriano Barrera Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Marie will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Soriano Barrera will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marie: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marie is ranked ATP: 295. Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 531.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Marie could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marie won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jules Marie
ATP Challenger
01.09.24	Jules Marie - Conner Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
28.08.24	Marco Trungelliti - Jules Marie	2:0 ✺
27.08.24	Jules Marie - Kyle Edmund	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Jules Marie - David Pichler	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.24	Jules Marie - Luke Simkiss	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL
- Adria Soriano Barrera
ATP Challenger
01.09.24	Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Richard Berankis - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.08.24	Eliakim Coulibaly - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Adria Soriano Barrera - Reda Bennani	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Petr Brunclik - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.03.24	Jules Marie - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2

Jules Marie - Adria Soriano Barrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide