Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TENERIFE 2 (SPAIN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday


	Jules Marie		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.32)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jules Marie
44.3%

Dennis Novak
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jules Marie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jules Marie than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Jules Marie - Dennis Novak Predictions

Users Predictions: Dennis Novak will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Marie is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novak is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marie could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Novak to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jules Marie
ATP Challenger
21.02.24	Zsombor Piros - Jules Marie	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Jules Marie - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Antoine Escoffier - Jules Marie	1:2 ✺
08.02.24	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Jules Marie	2:1 ✺
07.02.24	Filip Peliwo - Jules Marie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLW
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
20.02.24	Alexis Galarneau - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
30.01.24	Jurij Rodionov - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
18.01.24	Dennis Novak - Seong Chan Hong	Novak D. retired ✺
16.01.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
15.01.24	Dennis Novak - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WL?WW

Jules Marie - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide